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Tesla and Netflix Stocks: Analyzing Performance and Earnings Potential

Published by MEXEM Technical Analysis

July 26, 2024
(GMT+2)

Published -July 18th, 2023 @ 12:02 PM (GMT+2)


In the world of stocks, Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) and Netflix (NASDAQ:NFLX) have been standout performers this year. Tesla's stock has surged by an impressive +136%, while Netflix has seen a solid increase of +53%. As investors eagerly await their quarterly results, let's assess whether it's an excellent time to consider buying stocks in these market leaders.

Tesla Q2 Preview:

Tesla, the renowned auto giant, and EV leader, is set to release its fiscal second-quarter earnings. Analysts expect a 9% year-over-year rise in earnings per share (EPS) to $0.83. Sales are projected to climb by a remarkable 47% to $24.88 billion, compared to $16.93 billion in the same quarter last year.

Moreover, the Zacks Expected Surprise Prediction (ESP) suggests that Tesla might surpass earnings expectations, with the Most Accurate Estimate pegging Q2 EPS at $0.85 per share.
Analysts predict:
 

  • -13% dip in Tesla's earnings for fiscal 2023
  • 33% surge in FY24 -  reaching $4.70 per share 
  • 23% increase of total sales by this year and rise by 
  • another 25% in FY24, reaching $125.81 billion

Analyst Recommendation:

Among the 25 analysts covering Tesla, 28% rate it as a Strong Buy, and four analysts rate it as a Buy. Hold ratings were given by 14 analysts, while only three analysts recommend selling the stock.


Technical Analysis:

From a technical perspective, Tesla's stock price on July 14, 2023, was $281.38, comfortably above its 10-day, 50-day, and 200-day moving averages. The rise of the 50-day moving average above the 200-day moving average, known as a golden cross, indicates bullish sentiment.



Netflix Q2 Preview:

As for streaming giant Netflix, analysts anticipate a 12% year-over-year decline in EPS for the fiscal second quarter, settling at $2.82 per share compared to $3.20 in Q2 2022. However, sales are expected to rise by 3% from last year to $8.26 billion.

Interestingly, the Zacks ESP also indicates that Netflix might surpass earnings expectations, as the Most Accurate Estimate stands at $2.88 per share, 2% higher than the Zacks Consensus. Looking ahead, estimates show that Netflix's annual earnings will continue to rise:


  • 13% projected increase this year 
  • 31% jump in FY24 - reaching $14.74 per share 
  • 7% increase in sales in FY23 
  • 13% increase in FY24 - reaching $38.43 billion.

P/E Valuation:


Considering valuation metrics such as price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios remains crucial, even in a year where many tech giants and industry leaders like Tesla and Netflix command a premium.

Tesla stock currently trades at $290 per share, with a forward P/E ratio of 79.5X, 35% higher than the Zacks Automotive-Domestic Industry average of 49.6X. Although Tesla trades below its 90.6X high from the past year, it still exceeds the median of 57.3X.

In comparison, Netflix stock trades at $450 per share, with a P/E valuation of 39.2X forward earnings, below the Broadcasting Radio and Television Industry average of 49.6X. However, Netflix trades near its one-year high of 39.8X, exceeding the median of 28.7X.

Conclusion:

Both Tesla and Netflix stocks currently hold a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold). While the future looks promising for these industry leaders, considering their remarkable performance, it's worth noting that better buying opportunities may lie ahead after their substantial rallies.

The P/E valuations of these stocks suggest such possibilities. However, holding onto Tesla and Netflix stocks could still be rewarding, mainly if they beat earnings expectations and offer favorable guidance.

To find more about Netflix Future Forecast, Read more here

The information on mexem.com is for general informational purposes only. It should not be regarded as investment advice. Investing in stocks involves risk. A stock's past performance is not a reliable indicator of its future performance. Always consult a financial advisor or trusted sources before making any investment decisions

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