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Spotify's Dual Bet: Audiobooks and AI

Published by MEXEM EUROPE

July 26, 2024
(GMT+2)


Spotify {{ m-tag option="price" ticker="SPOT" currency="USD" }} is making waves in the financial markets with its dual investment strategy in audiobooks and artificial intelligence (AI) for podcasting. While these ventures offer potential for revenue diversification, they also come with financial implications that investors should closely monitor.


Audiobook Rollout: A Financial Deep Dive

Redburn analysts have downgraded Spotify from 'Buy' to 'Neutral,' lowering the stock's price target from $170 to $160. They estimate that Spotify's audiobook venture could cost €260 million and could be gross margin dilutive. The rollout in the UK and Australia alone could erase around 60 basis points of gross margin, with the U.S. having a further 140 basis points impact.


AI in Podcasting: A Game-Changer?

Since 2019, Spotify has invested heavily in podcasting, acquiring studios and distribution platforms like Megaphone and Anchor. Despite criticisms over shifting strategies and negative gross margins in its advertising division, Spotify continues to see a significant opportunity in podcasting. The company recently introduced AI voice translation technology, aiming to convert podcasts into multiple languages while retaining the speaker's unique characteristics.


Market Reach:

Spotify's user base comprises 551 million monthly active users, with only 20% located in North America. The company's fastest-growing markets are Latin America and other non-English-speaking regions. The new AI technology could expand the pool of podcast listeners, benefiting both Spotify's exclusive content and advertising network.


Financial Outlook:

Despite the stock making solid gains this year, up 96%, and the company's market cap stands at $31 billion, Spotify's gross margins have remained stagnant. The company reported a 24.1% gross margin in the most recent quarter, compared to 25.8% five years ago. Investors should exercise caution as these new ventures have yet to prove their profitability.



The information on mexem.com is for general informational purposes only. It should not be regarded as investment advice. Investing in stocks involves risk. A stock's past performance is not a reliable indicator of its future performance. Always consult a financial advisor or trusted sources before making any investment decisions.


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