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Nvidia's Q2 Earnings: AI Boom and Market Anticipation

Published by MEXEM Technical Analysis

July 26, 2024
(GMT+2)

Published - August 23rd, 2023 @ 10:22 AM (GMT+2)


Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA), the tech giant renowned for its graphics processors, is set to release its Q2 earnings report, and the financial world is watching closely. The company's Asian suppliers have seen a dip in anticipation of the announcement, with investors keenly focusing on the demand for artificial intelligence (AI).


Nvidia's Stellar Performance:

In 2023, Nvidia's shares have skyrocketed, tripling in value. This impressive performance highlights the growing excitement around the potential of AI in business, which has contributed significantly to the S&P 500's 14% gain this year. Nvidia's growth has outpaced other tech giants, including Apple and Microsoft, with the collective rise of these "Magnificent Seven" megacap stocks accounting for nearly two-thirds of the S&P 500's increase through July.

However, the broader equity market has shown signs of faltering. August has seen the benchmark index drop by over 4%, largely due to rising Treasury yields that could potentially make stocks less attractive. This market instability has shifted even more attention to Nvidia's upcoming earnings report.


The Importance of AI: 

The tech world is buzzing with two primary concerns: Can Big Tech maintain its market leadership, and is the AI narrative genuinely transformative? Anthony Saglimbene, the chief market strategist at Ameriprise Financial, suggests that positive news from a significant player like Nvidia could shift market sentiment.

Nvidia's previous report in May took the market by surprise. A promising forecast led to a 24% surge in its stock in just one day. This was followed by an 8% rally in the S&P 500 technology sector over the subsequent five days. The company's success is largely attributed to its role in powering generative AI apps like ChatGPT.

AI's Market Influence:

An analysis by Societe Generale highlighted the impact of AI on the market. Removing 20 stocks popular among AI-related exchange-traded funds from the S&P 500 would reduce the index's performance by about 13 percentage points.

Investor expectations are high, with Nvidia shares climbing nearly 12% since last week, reaching an all-time high before pulling back. Chuck Carlson, CEO at Horizon Investment Services, questions whether the upcoming earnings will meet these heightened expectations.


Potential Market Movements:

Options trading data suggests that Nvidia shares could swing by nearly 11% post-earnings, a significant deviation from the 8.6% average movement observed over the past eight quarters. Given Nvidia's substantial weight in the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100, any price movement will have a pronounced effect on these major indexes.

While Nvidia's earnings are in the limelight, investors are also awaiting a speech from Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell. Any indication that interest rates might remain at current levels for an extended period could further impact stock prices.


Goldman Sachs recently identified Nvidia as a primary beneficiary of the "AI revolution." An analysis by the firm revealed that a basket of 11 AI-focused stocks had returned 69% in 2023, far outpacing the S&P 500's 7% gain. Nvidia's adoption of AI has been a significant factor in this performance, with the company being a standout example.




The information on mexem.com is for general informational purposes only. It should not be regarded as investment advice. Investing in stocks involves risk. A stock's past performance is not a reliable indicator of its future performance. Always consult a financial advisor or trusted sources before making any investment decisions.



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