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Key Market Developments to Monitor in the Coming Week

Published by MEXEM EUROPE

July 26, 2024
(GMT+2)
As the landscape of the global economy continues to evolve, understanding the latest financial updates is more important than ever. Navigating the complex world of finance can be overwhelming, but keeping up-to-date with the significant market movements can empower investors and businesses to make informed decisions. In the following article, we delve into the top 5 vital financial trends and events that have the potential to shape the markets in the upcoming week. From stock market performances to executive moves, we've covered you with the essential news you need to know.


1. Adobe Stock: An Undervalued Gem with Robust Growth Prospects

Adobe Inc. {{ m-tag option="price" ticker="ADBE" currency="USD" }} has been making headlines for its impressive performance, gaining 56% YTD, outpacing the S&P 500's 13% rise. Despite this surge, the stock is trading at around $526, which is 12% below its estimated fair value of $594. The company's Q3 FY2023 revenues increased by 10% YoY to $4.89 billion, driven by an 11% growth in digital media and a 10% rise in digital experience revenues. Notably, subscription-based revenues contributed close to 94% of the top line, with subscription-based revenues contributing nearly 94%.

With a 3-month gain of 7.15% and an EPS of 10.48, Adobe maintains strong financial metrics and consistent profitability. The stock appears modestly undervalued, especially when compared to its GF Value of $653.27. This undervaluation, coupled with its recent positive momentum—evidenced by a 1.98% rise on the last trading day—creates a potential buying opportunity. Given these compelling financials and market trends, Adobe is a stock to watch closely this week.



2. AMD Stock: A Strong Buy Amidst Market Volatility

Advanced Micro Devices {{ m-tag option="price" ticker="AMD" currency="USD" }} has been in the spotlight for its robust performance, gaining 4.93% over the last five trading days. This uptick is part of a broader rebound in technology stocks, further boosted by a pullback in Treasury yields. Citigroup has given AMD a "Buy" rating with a target price of $136, and the stock holds an average brokerage recommendation of 1.45, leaning towards a Strong Buy. Adding to this positive sentiment is AMD's solid partnership with Samsung for GPU licensing.

Recent institutional interest further strengthens AMD's investment case. First American Trust FSB acquired a new stake of 32,956 shares, valued at approximately $3.75 million, in the second quarter. Other institutional investors and hedge funds, owning 68.43% of the company's stock, have also increased their positions. With a 52-week high of $132.83 and a low of $54.57, AMD presents a compelling range for potential gains. As AMD continues to navigate market volatility with resilience and strong institutional backing, it remains a compelling investment to watch closely this week.


3. Geopolitical Risks Stir U.S. Stock Futures and Oil Prices

The recent Hamas attack on Israel has sent ripples through the financial markets, causing U.S. stock futures to tumble and oil prices to surge. Dow Jones Industrial Average futures fell by approximately 200 points, or 0.7%, while oil futures saw a significant jump. Amidst this geopolitical uncertainty, traditional safe havens like gold and the U.S. dollar also gained traction. 

Analysts predict short-term rises in crude prices, potentially affecting Iranian oil exports. Despite the volatility, investors should keep a close eye on these developments, as they offer both challenges and opportunities in the trading landscape this week.


4. Bristol Myers Squibb's Strategic $5.8B Acquisition of Mirati Therapeutics

Bristol Myers Squibb {{ m-tag option="price" ticker="BMY" currency="USD" }} has announced a strategic acquisition of Mirati Therapeutics {{ m-tag option="price" ticker="MRTX" currency="USD" }} in a deal worth up to $5.8 billion, set to close by H1 2024. The pharmaceutical giant will pay $58 per Mirati share, totaling an equity value of $4.8 billion. Additionally, Mirati stockholders are poised to receive a non-tradeable Contingent Value Right, potentially adding another $1 billion to the deal's value. This acquisition will notably expand Bristol Myers Squibb's oncology portfolio, including the addition of lung-cancer medicine Krazati. Despite an expected dilution of 35 cents per share in non-GAAP earnings in the first year, the deal aligns with Bristol Myers Squibb's business development goals.

Bristol Myers Squibb closed at $56.42 with a market cap of $118.37 billion, trading between $56.17 and $56.88. The stock has a P/E ratio of 15.08 and offers a dividend yield of 4.02%. Mirati Therapeutics, trading on BVMF, closed at R$21.32 with a market cap of $4.09 billion. Both stocks present compelling investment opportunities to watch closely this week.


5. Schaeffler and Vitesco: A Powerhouse Merger in E-Mobility

The automotive world is buzzing with the news of Schaeffler AG's €3.64 billion tender offer for Vitesco Technologies {{ m-tag option="price" ticker="VTSCY" currency="USD" }}, sending Vitesco's shares soaring by nearly 20%. The deal aims to create a motion technology leader with €25 billion in annual sales. Vitesco, already up 39% this year, saw its shares extend their YTD gain to almost 68% following the announcement. Schaeffler, which already owns 49.9% of Vitesco, plans to fully merge the companies, targeting €600 million in annual synergies by 2029.

Schaeffler's shares {{ m-tag option="price" ticker="SHA.DE" currency="EUR" }}, however, dipped by 6.6%, despite the deal's strategic logic in capitalizing on e-mobility growth opportunities. Analysts see the offer as favorable, with a premium one-fifth higher than Vitesco's volume-weighted average price over the past three months. The merger is expected to simplify shareholder structures and could be a game-changer in the e-mobility sector. Keep an eye on these stocks as the merger progresses towards its expected completion in Q4 2024.

Conclusion

This week presents a plethora of investment opportunities across various sectors. Adobe and AMD continue to show robust performance, making them strong candidates for portfolio inclusion. Bristol Myers Squibb's strategic acquisition of Mirati Therapeutics adds a new dimension to its oncology portfolio, while geopolitical events offer both risks and rewards in the commodities market. Lastly, the Schaeffler-Vitesco merger is set to redefine the e-mobility landscape. Investors should closely monitor these developments for potential gains.


The information on mexem.com is for general informational purposes only. It should not be regarded as investment advice. Investing in stocks involves risk. A stock's past performance is not a reliable indicator of its future performance. Always consult a financial advisor or trusted sources before making any investment decisions.

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